Apologies for a brief post this week as I’m traveling for a family wedding and had less time to post than expected. Some will have brief explanations and some just picks
Chiefs -5
Chiefs love facing Gus Bradley (as does the rest of the NFL). The Colts don’t seem to have their offense figured out. Can’t pick them until I see progress.
Ravens -2.5
Saints -2
Texans +3
Bills +4.5
Bills know what the Dolphins want to do and have the defense to mitigate it.
Jets +6.5
Cincy regression is real and hard.
Lions +6.5
Have we not learned the Lions can keep pace in any game? 6.5 is always going to feel like too much for these Lions.
Raiders -2
Commanders +6
Chargers -3.5
Packers +1.5
This one is a hard one. Bucs defense is a top 3 unit in the NFL. Their offense is slow and methodical and sluggish. Leftwich’s propensity to run on first down is hurting the offense. This feels like a low scoring game where a defensive big play makes the difference.
Rams -3.5
Seahawks -1
49ers -1.5
I believe the Broncos will be good but they’re not there yet.
Cowboys +1
I believe the Giants are a decent team but we saw what Parsons and that defense can do.